Brazil's economic growth party has paused, prompting global companies to consider tactical measures to hedge risks, but the long-term outlook for Latin America's economic powerhouse remains strong.

Srinivas Thiruvadanthai, director of research at the Jerome Levy Forecasting Center, says he expects Brazilian interest rates to continue to fall—ultimately a boon for local businesses—and the real to remain under pressure, even after plummeting 23% against the dollar since June 2011.

"The economy will be under duress this year, but afterward will probably improve," says Thiruvadanthai, adding that of the major emerging markets, Brazil is probably best placed for a rebound because it's less dependent on exports than China or Russia and doesn't have India's "intractable" inflation.

Complete your profile to continue reading and get FREE access to Treasury & Risk, part of your ALM digital membership.

Your access to unlimited Treasury & Risk content isn’t changing.
Once you are an ALM digital member, you’ll receive:

  • Thought leadership on regulatory changes, economic trends, corporate success stories, and tactical solutions for treasurers, CFOs, risk managers, controllers, and other finance professionals
  • Informative weekly newsletter featuring news, analysis, real-world case studies, and other critical content
  • Educational webcasts, white papers, and ebooks from industry thought leaders
  • Critical coverage of the employee benefits and financial advisory markets on our other ALM sites, PropertyCasualty360 and ThinkAdvisor
NOT FOR REPRINT

© 2024 ALM Global, LLC, All Rights Reserved. Request academic re-use from www.copyright.com. All other uses, submit a request to [email protected]. For more information visit Asset & Logo Licensing.