With its "zombie" public companies and small-business failures, the U.S. economy is "dead," and a second stimulus won't revive it, argued Harry S. Dent Jr. in a recent interview with Treasury & Risk sister publication ThinkAdvisor.
"The contrarian's contrarian," as Dent is known, forecasts that the pandemic-afflicted U.S. economy, amid an enormous Federal Reserve-created bubble, won't bottom out until 2023. He predicts that the stock market will reach bottom late in 2022 or early in 2023. It will be "the lowest stock market of our lifetime."
Dent, 67, accurately called Japan's 1989 economic collapse, the dot-com bust, and the populist wave that delivered the presidency to Donald Trump. He uses propriety research and bases predictions mainly on demographics and trends. As head of HSD Publishing, the Harvard Business School MBA puts out the monthly "HS Dent Forecast" and "Rodney Johnson Report," along with free daily insight "e-letters" (see www.harrydent.com). Dent has also written a number of bestsellers. His most recent title is "Spending Waves."
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