What Will Inflation's Downward Path Look Like?

As price increases seem to have passed their peak, the next big question for the U.S. economy will be how far—and how fast—inflation will fall.

By Ben Holland, Reade Pickert & By Rich Miller | January 11, 2023 at 09:58 AM

Photo: A worker pulls boxes of donated food from warehouse shelves at the Dare to Care Food Bank in Louisville, Kentucky, on June 16, 2022. Photographer: Luke Sharrett/Bloomberg

The question that obsessed financial markets last year was when and where U.S. inflation would peak. The 2023 version will likely be how far—and how fast—it will come down.

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News

1 Fed Lowers Interest Rates by a Quarter Point

2 Fabricating a Treasury Function from Scratch to Support an $18 Billion Business

3 U.S.–Euro Rates Gap Is Set to Widen Again

4 Subway Builds a Fast, Fresh Approach to Treasury

5 Tariff Inflation Will Likely Be Transitory

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Fed Lowers Interest Rates by a Quarter Point

By Amara Omeokwe | December 18, 2024

However, officials reduced their expected number of rate cuts for next year from four to two.

Fed Lowers Interest Rates by a Quarter Point

U.S.–Euro Rates Gap Is Set to Widen Again

By Catarina Saraiva | December 16, 2024

In his first term, Trump bashed the Fed for allowing higher interest rates in the U.S. vs. Europe to drive up the dollar and hurt exports. Next year will likely bring more of the same, as the U.S. economy remains considerably stronger, meaning rates here will likely fall more slowly than in the Eurozone.

U.S.–Euro Rates Gap Is Set to Widen Again

Tariff Inflation Will Likely Be Transitory

By Catarina Saraiva | December 13, 2024

Nevertheless, the Fed may feel compelled to raise interest rates as soon as the first signs of a tariff-led bump in inflation emerge.

Tariff Inflation Will Likely Be Transitory

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