Retreat in U.S. Bank Lending

On a seasonally adjusted basis, both deposits and loans fell during the week of the First Republic Bank failure.

First Republic Bank headquarters in San Francisco on April 29, 2023.

U.S. loans and deposits fell slightly in the chaotic first week of May, when First Republic Bank collapsed—marking the nation’s second-largest bank failure—and was acquired by JPMorgan Chase & Co.

Commercial bank lending fell $15.7 billion in the week ended May 3, after increasing $41.9 billion in the prior week, according to seasonally adjusted data from the Federal Reserve out Friday. However, on an unadjusted basis, loans and leases were up slightly.

Deposits also declined on a seasonally adjusted basis, though without adjustment deposits rose $67.3 billion.

Economists and policymakers are closely monitoring a range of data to assess lending conditions and the overall stability of the financial sector in the wake of several regional bank failures. Known as the H.8, this report provides an estimated weekly aggregate balance sheet for all commercial banks in the United States.

That said, the divergence between the adjusted and unadjusted data makes it difficult to draw conclusions about the latest report’s moves.

Metric Change week ended May 3
Deposits -$13.8 billion
Deposits, unadjusted +$67.3 billion
Loans -$15.7 billion
Loans, unadjusted +$3.6 billion

A separate Fed report out earlier this week showed nearly half of U.S. banks tightened terms on commercial and industrial loans for midsize and large businesses in the first quarter, extending a trend that began before recent stresses in the banking sector emerged.

The biggest 25 domestic banks account for almost three-fifths of lending, although in some key areas—including commercial real estate—smaller banks are the most important providers of credit. This report is primarily based on data reported weekly by a sample of about 875 domestically chartered banks and foreign-related institutions.

—With assistance from Vince Golle.

 

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