Bond Market's 'Vicious Cycle' Risk Puts Spotlight on Fed QT

Quantitative tightening is "an underappreciated risk" that might keep bond yields higher for longer. Auctions of 10- and 30-year Treasuries were poorly received this month, and supply will keep increasing, thanks to the widening budget deficit.

By Michael Mackenzie, Liz Capo McCormick & By Jonnelle Marte | October 25, 2023 at 10:14 AM

Photo: The Federal Reserve Board of Governors seal. Photographer: Brendan Smialowski/AFP/Getty Images

The worst selloff of longer-term Treasuries in more than four decades is putting a spotlight on the market's biggest missing buyer: the Federal Reserve.

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News

1 Fed Lowers Interest Rates by a Quarter Point

2 Fabricating a Treasury Function from Scratch to Support an $18 Billion Business

3 U.S.–Euro Rates Gap Is Set to Widen Again

4 Subway Builds a Fast, Fresh Approach to Treasury

5 Tariff Inflation Will Likely Be Transitory

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Fed Lowers Interest Rates by a Quarter Point

By Amara Omeokwe | December 18, 2024

However, officials reduced their expected number of rate cuts for next year from four to two.

Fed Lowers Interest Rates by a Quarter Point

U.S.–Euro Rates Gap Is Set to Widen Again

By Catarina Saraiva | December 16, 2024

In his first term, Trump bashed the Fed for allowing higher interest rates in the U.S. vs. Europe to drive up the dollar and hurt exports. Next year will likely bring more of the same, as the U.S. economy remains considerably stronger, meaning rates here will likely fall more slowly than in the Eurozone.

U.S.–Euro Rates Gap Is Set to Widen Again

Tariff Inflation Will Likely Be Transitory

By Catarina Saraiva | December 13, 2024

Nevertheless, the Fed may feel compelled to raise interest rates as soon as the first signs of a tariff-led bump in inflation emerge.

Tariff Inflation Will Likely Be Transitory

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