The purpose of performance measurement is to track how employees and their actions add value to an organization. For public companies, this value is typically reflected in shareholder returns and capital market valuations. But how can executives making operating decisions know how those decisions are going to be received by the market? If a new investment or acquisition adds $100 million in revenue, how will that affect the share price? What about $50 million in EBITDA (earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization) or free cash flow? And what impact will a cost-cutting initiative have if it improves operating margin by 3 percent?

The reality is that the answer to each of these questions depends on an array of factors.  The cost-cutting initiative may end up reducing revenue or even EBITDA, resulting in a net negative share price reaction. Just as the acquisition that brings in $100 million in added revenue or $50 million in EBITDA may require so much capital that overall the transaction drives returns lower.

Regardless of whether companies use revenue, EBITDA, earnings per share (EPS), free cash flow, or return on capital as their key performance indicators, they will not have clear insight into the effects of management actions on shareholders. None of these metrics reliably relates to shareholder returns because each of them is incomplete. But there is a measure that reliably reflects shareholder returns and market valuation. It's called economic profit (EP).

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Michael Chew

Michael Chew is manager of thought leadership at Fortuna Advisors. His recent publications include “Driving Outperformance: The Power and Potential of Economic Profit” (Journal of Applied Corporate Finance), the “2024 Fortuna Advisors Value Leadership Report,” and the “2024 Fortuna Advisors Buyback ROI Report.” Anyone interested in learning more about economic profit (EP)-based incentives and resource allocation can reach out to him at [email protected].

Chris Moore

Chris Moore is a vice president at Fortuna Advisors. His previous publications include the “2024 Fortuna Advisors Value Leadership Report” and the “2024 Fortuna Advisors Buyback ROI Report.” Moore has supported clients in the energy, distribution and logistics, aerospace and defense, and gaming industries integrating residual cash earnings (RCE) into strategic and operational frameworks, and incentive compensation design. You can reach him at [email protected].