A Republican election sweep—or a Democratic wave—could result in more fiscal stimulus, which would likely re-accelerate inflation and slow down the Federal Reserve's pace of interest rate cuts, according to Insight Investment's Brendan Murphy.

The money manager is overweight on corporate credit amid a supportive technical and fundamental backdrop right now. Fund flows into the asset class are "tremendous," the Fed's easing policy is supportive, and companies have done a good job of terming out debt, said Murphy, Insight's head of fixed income for North America, based in Boston.

But as the U.S. presidential election approaches, corporate credit risks are rising. "It's a big risk to bond yields in general, but it would also be a risk to risky assets and to credit spreads because the market's pretty fully discounted a return to normalization," Murphy said in an October 17 interview.

Continue Reading for Free

Register and gain access to:

  • Thought leadership on regulatory changes, economic trends, corporate success stories, and tactical solutions for treasurers, CFOs, risk managers, controllers, and other finance professionals
  • Informative weekly newsletter featuring news, analysis, real-world case studies, and other critical content
  • Educational webcasts, white papers, and ebooks from industry thought leaders
  • Critical coverage of the employee benefits and financial advisory markets on our other ALM sites, PropertyCasualty360 and ThinkAdvisor
NOT FOR REPRINT

© 2024 ALM Global, LLC, All Rights Reserved. Request academic re-use from www.copyright.com. All other uses, submit a request to [email protected]. For more information visit Asset & Logo Licensing.