Although U.S. interest rates are sitting at 23-year highs, the pockets of pain they are causing are nothing like the systemic problems that so often wrecked expansions in the past.
The benchmark will have its last fixing at around 6:55 a.m. New York time on Friday, and some borrowers and lenders are still scrambling to amend contracts.
Large Wall Street dealers already stand to lose $5 million to $10 million if the spread between overnight and term SOFR moves against them by just 1 basis point, and their exposure grows with every new transaction.
Minutes from the FOMC's December meeting include an unusually blunt warning to investors, cautioning against underestimating the Fed's will to keep interest rates high for some time.