As U.S. economic reports inspire cautious optimism, companies are preparing to reverse some of the benefits cuts they have made since last fall but aiming to operate with smaller staffs in the future. More than 60% say they plan to rescind a hiring freeze in the next 12 months, while 55% aim to restore salary reductions and 69% will lift salary freezes, according to a Watson Wyatt survey conducted in early June.

The looser rein on benefits reflects expectations that the economy is on the mend, or soon will be. Of the 179 companies surveyed, 24% say their results have bottomed out, up from the 13% that made that claim in April; 10% say their results are currently at bottom and another 41% expect the recession to be over by the end of this year.

However, despite the thawing of hiring freezes, 52% of companies expect the size of their staff to be smaller in three to five years than it is currently. That forecast is "primarily about maintaining lean staffing levels and trying just to drive productivity in the organization," says Laura Sejen, global director of strategic rewards consulting at Watson Wyatt. "We're learning to do more with less." She notes that at the same time, companies are concerned about having enough workers with critical skills. Forty-five percent expect to have difficulty retaining such employees and 41% say it will be difficult to attract them.

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On the retirement front, 48% plan to restore the matches on their 401(k) or 403(b) plans in the next year. But when it comes to recession-inspired hikes in health premiums, only 38% plan to reverse them within 12 months, and 46% say they don't plan to reverse them at all. "That finding, specifically, is less about the recession and more about the ongoing persistent issues that companies face in terms of managing the cost of providing health care coverage to their employees," says Sejen.

Asked about long-term changes that may result from the recession, 79% of companies expect an increase in employees who work past their desired retirement age and 73% say employees are likely to pay an increasing percentage of health care costs.

A separate survey by WorldatWork shows that on average, companies are increasing their salary budgets just 2.2% this year. That's 1.7 percentage points lower than the 3.9% companies projected for this year's increase in last year's survey; it's also the smallest annual increase in the survey's history. Looking ahead to next year, companies expect salary budget increases of 2.8%.

See also: Companies are trying to contain costs by encouraging employees to be better healthcare consumers.

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Susan Kelly

Susan Kelly is a business journalist who has written for Treasury & Risk, FierceCFO, Global Finance, Financial Week, Bridge News and The Bond Buyer.