December is a great time to take a vacation. It is a terrible time for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates.

The most obvious reason is because, well, many people go on vacation and are therefore out of the office. Why would the Fed want to wreak havoc on their time off? And think of the hard-working souls left in the office; they’d have to deal with the messy aftermath of the first interest rate increase in almost a decade, which would surprise much of the bond market.

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