The battered pound may rally about 9 percent against the Swiss franc if Britain votes to remain in the European Union, according to UBS Wealth Management, which manages about $2 trillion.

A vote by Britain to exit the world's largest trading bloc has the potential to move the pound, which has slid 6.9 percent against the franc this year, down by a "decent amount" versus its Swiss peer, which would act as the "ultimate" haven in such a scenario, the Zurich-based wealth manager said.

The pound is trailing behind all its Group-of-10 major counterparts this year amid speculation a June 23 vote to quit the EU would set back the U.K.'s economic recovery, which would then keep the Bank of England from tightening monetary policy. The Federal Reserve started raising rates last year, and traders put the odds of another move before the July policy meeting at 51 percent, from 35 percent at the end of February.

Complete your profile to continue reading and get FREE access to Treasury & Risk, part of your ALM digital membership.

Your access to unlimited Treasury & Risk content isn’t changing.
Once you are an ALM digital member, you’ll receive:

  • Thought leadership on regulatory changes, economic trends, corporate success stories, and tactical solutions for treasurers, CFOs, risk managers, controllers, and other finance professionals
  • Informative weekly newsletter featuring news, analysis, real-world case studies, and other critical content
  • Educational webcasts, white papers, and ebooks from industry thought leaders
  • Critical coverage of the employee benefits and financial advisory markets on our other ALM sites, PropertyCasualty360 and ThinkAdvisor
NOT FOR REPRINT

© 2024 ALM Global, LLC, All Rights Reserved. Request academic re-use from www.copyright.com. All other uses, submit a request to [email protected]. For more information visit Asset & Logo Licensing.