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One Sign Dollar Deleveraging Is Already Here

Will stronger dollar depress cross-border lending by banks?

By Tracy Alloway, Bloomberg | Updated on December 05, 2016

Après nous, le deleveraging? The rally in the U.S. dollar, coupled with seismic changes in the $2.7 trillion money-market fund (MMF) industry, is sparking a fresh bout of cross-border deleveraging, according to new analysis from Citigroup Inc.

That’s because a stronger dollar tends to pressure foreign companies that have borrowed in greenbacks, causing banks to cut down on their international lending as risks in their corporate loan portfolios increase. Any pullback in cross-border lending would intensify concerns that the dollar rally sparked by Donald Trump’s win in the U.S. presidential elections could have a knock-on effect on economic growth around the world.

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