The benchmark will have its last fixing at around 6:55 a.m. New York time on Friday, and some borrowers and lenders are still scrambling to amend contracts.
Large Wall Street dealers already stand to lose $5 million to $10 million if the spread between overnight and term SOFR moves against them by just 1 basis point, and their exposure grows with every new transaction.
Quantitative tightening may draw reticent short-term investors back into Treasuries, although some analysts believe that, "from a cash-market perspective, nothing will change when the first bill runoff takes place on Thursday."
If signed into law, the measure will head off uncertainty and legal fights around some $16 trillion of LIBOR-linked deals that may survive beyond June 2023.
As LIBOR winds down, one derivatives trader worries its replacement will do a poor job hedging risks in turbulent times: "For somebody who wants to hedge their borrowing costs, [SOFR] leaves a lot to be desired."