Tomorrow's U.S. Department of Labor jobs report might "put a stamp of confirmation" on indications that the economy is very resilient—and convince the Fed to initiate another 75 bps increase in interest rates.
Despite two quarters of GDP decline, the U.S. is not currently in a recession, says the official arbiter of such things, the NBER's Business Cycle Dating Committee.
Economists don't tend to look at any given indicator in a vacuum. Instead, they consider a wide variety of data when making projections about the health of the economy.
First-quarter corporate earnings are beating estimates by 7%: "As 2022 progresses, we will begin to experience an easing in supply-chain disruptions, general inventory rebuilding across many end-use markets, and still a healthy consumer willing to spend."