Minutes from the FOMC's March meeting indicate the Fed is "scrambling to get policy back to neutral as quickly as they can. ... to get inflation back under control."
The Fed will likely curtail bond-buying soon in response to inflation, and investors increasingly expect benchmark interest rates to rise as early as mid next year.
Complex administration of the tax deferral, and the prospect of having to double withholding from employee paychecks early next year, mean no major private businesses have taken advantage of the holiday.
The Federal Reserve's Beige Book shows 38 million job losses in two months and an annualized 4.8% GDP decline Q1, with the prospect of a much steeper drop this quarter.