"Russia's going to face an insurance and financial services ban. ... Why should they retaliate for an initiative that enables their oil to continue to flow through to world markets at a price that is profitable?"
Economists don't tend to look at any given indicator in a vacuum. Instead, they consider a wide variety of data when making projections about the health of the economy.
Following in the footsteps of inflation-slayer Volcker, Powell openly endorses raising rates into restrictive territory with the aim of cooling off the labor market.