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Tariffs on the U.S.’s closest neighbors are due to kick in next week. So-called ‘reciprocal tariffs’ may hit every nation in April.

83% of employees expect political tensions to continue rising under the current administration.

“The concern with higher inflation expectations is that it can be self-fulfilling—what people and businesses expect to happen, often does.”

The return-to-office process has been messy and tense for employees at some of the country’s biggest employers, including Amazon and JPMorgan.

Both robust foreign demand for high-yielding U.S. corporate bonds and falling hedging costs are drawing companies to Japan.

Economists also see a 25% chance of recession in the next 12 months—up from January and the first increase in two years, but well below the 65% chance estimated in the first half of 2023.

Unemployment numbers are likely to rise soon. The lost positions will primarily be well-paid roles held by highly educated workers, which will spill over to consumer-facing industries and housing, pushing Washington, D.C., into a mild recession by the summer.

Congratulations to BMS on winning the 2024 Alexander Hamilton Overall Excellence Award!