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Chinese data indicates that the nominal value of exports to the U.S. has grown, even as U.S. data shows imports from China falling. This discrepancy increases questions around the impacts of the recently enacted 10% tariff.

Tariffs on the U.S.’s closest neighbors are due to kick in next week. So-called ‘reciprocal tariffs’ may hit every nation in April.

83% of employees expect political tensions to continue rising under the current administration.

“The concern with higher inflation expectations is that it can be self-fulfilling—what people and businesses expect to happen, often does.”

The return-to-office process has been messy and tense for employees at some of the country’s biggest employers, including Amazon and JPMorgan.

Both robust foreign demand for high-yielding U.S. corporate bonds and falling hedging costs are drawing companies to Japan.

Economists also see a 25% chance of recession in the next 12 months—up from January and the first increase in two years, but well below the 65% chance estimated in the first half of 2023.

Unemployment numbers are likely to rise soon. The lost positions will primarily be well-paid roles held by highly educated workers, which will spill over to consumer-facing industries and housing, pushing Washington, D.C., into a mild recession by the summer.