Several big banks are projecting large negative revisions to Q1 jobs numbers, suggesting the labor market has been cooling for longer—and perhaps more dramatically—than originally thought.
Initial claims fell by 17,000 last week, in part because of a drop in Michigan, Missouri, and Texas, states that had registered large increases in unemployment applications in prior weeks.
The Federal Reserve's preferred measure of underlying U.S. inflation rose at a tame pace in June and consumer spending remained healthy—two encouraging…